Many of the hospitals in Allegheny County were in contact with each other, but each hospital system only had visibility into its own facilities.
But, if we didn’t need the facility, that decision would have stretched already thin resources. If the emergency space wasn’t open and hospital beds ran out, mortality rates could soar.
1: Hospitalizations Due to COVID-19 and New Cases from Positive PCR Tests in Allegheny County (WPRDC Data 1)īased on its planning, the ACHD needed at least a weeks’ time to open emergency COVID facilities. Guides(color = FALSE) + facet_wrap(.~Key, scales = "free") + scale_x_date(name="Specimen Collection Date", date_breaks="1 month", minor_breaks=NULL, date_labels="%b %Y")+ theme(legend.position = "none")įig. Title = "New COVID-19 Hospitalizations and Cases in Allegheny County",Ĭaption = "Delphi Group, \nData from WPRDC") + Ggplot(data=df2, aes(x=CollectionDate, y=Counts, fill=Key), show.legend = FALSE) + library(ggplot2)įull_df <- tibble(read.csv(file="./c2b/test_and_hosp.csv"))įull_df$collection_date <- as.Date(full_df$collection_date, "%m/%d/%y")ĭf2 <- ame(Key=rep(c("Hospitalization", "Positive Cases"), each=nrow(full_df)),ĬollectionDate=rep(c(full_df$collection_date),2),Ĭounts=c(full_df$hospital_flag*7, full_df$test_result*7)) One of our shared worries in early November 2020, as the case rates in the region continued to increase, was if hospitals located in the county would run out of hospital beds for COVID patients (Fig 1). To address local challenges during the pandemic, we partnered with the Allegheny County Health Department (ACHD). That is to say, these tools must provide actionable intelligence. Tools are only useful, however, if the insights they provide can inform concrete actions. One of the Delphi Group’s goals is to create informative tools for healthcare organizations. The only constant during the pandemic is change.An alternative to Monte Carlo: the analytical model.The logistics of actionable intelligence.
Actionable intelligence during the pandemic.
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